Table 3 Model fit and performance metrics for full and restricted domain-based models

Demographic

χ²(5) = 9.06, p = 0.11

Nagelkerke R²

0.02

 < 0.01

Brier score

0.14

0.14

Financial security

χ²(2) = 0.52, p = 0.77

Nagelkerke R²

 < 0.01

 < 0.01

Brier score

0.14

0.14

Mental disorder

χ²(12) = 31.05, p = 0.002

Nagelkerke R²

0.06

0.02

Brier score

0.13

0.14

Substance use

χ²(2) = 0.80, p = 0.67

Nagelkerke R²

 < 0.01

 < 0.01

Brier score

0.14

0.14

Functional impairment

χ²(1) = 0.01, p = 0.92

Nagelkerke R²

 < 0.01

 < 0.01

Brier score

0.14

0.14

Forensic history

χ²(4) = 3.64, p = 0.46

Nagelkerke R²

 < 0.01

 < 0.01

Brier score

0.14

0.14

Child maltreatment

χ²(7) = 24.72, p < 0.001

Nagelkerke R²

0.05

0.03

Brier score

0.14

0.14

Social support

χ²(2) = 1.18, p = 0.55

Nagelkerke R²

 < 0.01

 < 0.01

Brier score

0.14

0.14

Stigma

χ²(1) = 0.01, p = 0.92

Nagelkerke R²

 < 0.01

 < 0.01

Brier score

0.14

0.14

Full model

χ²(36) = 69.30, p = 0.001

Nagelkerke R²

0.14

0.02

Brier score

0.13

0.14

Bias-corrected indexes have been bootstrapped (5000 replicates)